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Buletin Ilmiah IMPASBuletin Ilmiah IMPAS

Rice price volatility in Indonesia remains a critical issue, affecting both consumer affordability and farmer profitability. Despite government interventions, significant price fluctuations continue, driven by regulatory changes, macroeconomic factors, supply chain inefficiencies, and climate-related disruptions. The implementation of Permentan No. 31/2017 modified rice classification standards, potentially altering market price structures and consumer purchasing behavior. This study aims to analyze the dynamics of rice prices in Indonesia in 2023, focusing on the impact of government regulations, seasonal supply variations, and external economic pressures. It examines how Permentan No. 31/2017 influenced rice price differentiation, as well as the effectiveness of BULOGs price stabilization efforts in mitigating price volatility. This research adopts a quantitative approach, utilizing secondary data from BPS Indonesia. Monthly price trends for Premium, Medium, and Low/Non-Quality rice were analyzed from January to December 2023. A comparative assessment was conducted to examine price disparities before and after regulatory adjustments, as well as the correlation between seasonal supply cycles and price fluctuations. Findings indicate that rice prices remained stable in the first half of 2023 but surged significantly between August and December. Premium rice peaked at IDR 13,371.54 per kg, Medium-quality rice reached IDR 13,011.56 per kg, and Low/Non-Quality rice increased to IDR 12,381.31 per kg in October. The narrowing price gap between Premium and Medium rice in early 2023 suggests that regulatory changes influenced classification and market pricing. The study highlights the complex interplay between agricultural regulations, macroeconomic factors, and environmental risks in shaping rice price volatility. While Permentan No. 31/2017 affected price differentiation, broader market pressures drove significant instability. Future research should focus on strengthening domestic rice production efficiency, improving supply chain resilience, and enhancing government intervention strategies. Further exploration of the link between rice price inflation and household food security, as well as adaptive strategies for climate-resilient rice farming, will be crucial for ensuring long-term stability in Indonesias rice market.

The study concludes that rice prices in Indonesia experienced significant volatility in 2023, with major increases between August and December.31/2017 influenced price dynamics, but broader market pressures and climate factors were also significant drivers.Strengthening domestic production, improving supply chain efficiency, and enhancing government intervention strategies are crucial for stabilizing rice prices and ensuring food security.

Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, terdapat beberapa saran penelitian lanjutan yang dapat dilakukan. Pertama, perlu dilakukan studi mendalam mengenai efektivitas berbagai strategi intervensi pemerintah dalam menstabilkan harga beras, termasuk evaluasi peran BULOG dan mekanisme pasar yang lebih responsif. Kedua, penelitian lebih lanjut diperlukan untuk mengidentifikasi dan mengatasi inefisiensi dalam rantai pasokan beras, mulai dari produksi hingga distribusi, dengan fokus pada pengurangan biaya logistik dan peningkatan infrastruktur penyimpanan. Ketiga, penting untuk mengeksplorasi dampak perubahan iklim terhadap produksi beras di Indonesia dan mengembangkan strategi adaptasi yang berkelanjutan, seperti pengembangan varietas padi tahan kekeringan dan penerapan praktik pertanian cerdas iklim. Penelitian-penelitian ini diharapkan dapat memberikan wawasan yang lebih komprehensif untuk merumuskan kebijakan yang efektif dalam menjaga stabilitas harga beras, meningkatkan ketahanan pangan, dan mendukung kesejahteraan petani di Indonesia. Dengan demikian, Indonesia dapat mengurangi ketergantungan pada impor beras dan mencapai swasembada pangan yang berkelanjutan.

  1. Jurnal Pangan. instrumen pengendalian harga beras dibutuhkan jurnal pangan main navigation content sidebar... jurnalpangan.com/index.php/pangan/article/view/538Jurnal Pangan instrumen pengendalian harga beras dibutuhkan jurnal pangan main navigation content sidebar jurnalpangan index php pangan article view 538
  2. Rice Production, Policies, and Their Implications on Food Security Indonesia - Thailand Perspective |... journal.formosapublisher.org/index.php/mudima/article/view/7927Rice Production Policies and Their Implications on Food Security Indonesia Thailand Perspective journal formosapublisher index php mudima article view 7927
  3. Unraveling the Interplay among Inflation, Rice Prices, and Farmers Terms of Trade in Central Java, Indonesia... journal.ugm.ac.id/jae/article/view/86078Unraveling the Interplay among Inflation Rice Prices and Farmers Terms of Trade in Central Java Indonesia journal ugm ac jae article view 86078
  4. THE EFFECT OF RICE PRICE ON THE INDONESIAN INFLATION IN A NEW INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE | Novita... ejournal2.undip.ac.id/index.php/agrisocionomics/article/view/24146THE EFFECT OF RICE PRICE ON THE INDONESIAN INFLATION IN A NEW INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE Novita ejournal2 undip ac index php agrisocionomics article view 24146
  5. CAUSALITY ANALYSIS OF RICE PRICES WITH INFLATION RATE IN INDONESIA | Pangesti | Agrisocionomics: Jurnal... doi.org/10.14710/agrisocionomics.v7i3.16460CAUSALITY ANALYSIS OF RICE PRICES WITH INFLATION RATE IN INDONESIA Pangesti Agrisocionomics Jurnal doi 10 14710 agrisocionomics v7i3 16460
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