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Ekuilibrium : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Ilmu EkonomiEkuilibrium : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

This study analyzed several factors that affect the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index. The use of the inflation-currency rate, the availability of money, and the BI rate were all internal factors considered in this study. Meanwhile, the external factors used in this study were international gold and oil prices. The Engle-Granger Error Correction Model was used to analyze time series data in this study. The research used the monthly period started from May 2013 until January 2022. The long-term results of the research variables that could influence the exchange rate, total money supply, world oil prices, and world gold prices were all dependent on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index. Meanwhile, the factors that influence the short-term movement of the ISSI exchange rates were inflation, and the BI rate variables.

The research aims to analyse the variables affecting the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index.The research found that the exchange rate, money supply, world oil prices and world gold prices have a significant influence on the movement of the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) in the long term.In the short term, inflation, exchange rates, and BI interest rates have a significant impact on ISSI.The Engle-Granger Error Correction Model (ECM) shows that there is an adjustment towards long-run equilibrium of 21.

Berdasarkan penelitian ini, terdapat beberapa saran penelitian lanjutan yang dapat dikembangkan. Pertama, penelitian selanjutnya dapat meneliti dampak pandemi COVID-19 terhadap ISSI, dengan membandingkan faktor-faktor internal dan eksternal yang memengaruhi ISSI sebelum dan sesudah pandemi. Hal ini penting untuk memahami bagaimana kondisi ekonomi yang tidak pasti dapat memengaruhi pasar saham syariah di Indonesia. Kedua, penelitian dapat memperluas cakupan variabel eksternal yang memengaruhi ISSI, seperti tingkat suku bunga global dan kebijakan moneter negara-negara mitra dagang utama Indonesia. Dengan demikian, dapat diperoleh pemahaman yang lebih komprehensif tentang faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi kinerja ISSI. Ketiga, penelitian dapat menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan data panel untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor-faktor tersebut terhadap ISSI secara lebih mendalam, dengan mempertimbangkan heterogenitas antar perusahaan yang terdaftar di ISSI. Ketiga saran ini diharapkan dapat memberikan kontribusi bagi pengembangan pasar saham syariah di Indonesia dan meningkatkan daya tarik investasi syariah bagi investor domestik maupun mancanegara.

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